Portfolio perspectives

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Portfolio perspectives

Expert Perspective

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January 27, 2025

Each month, you’ll have access to the latest insights from our Portfolio Solutions experts to help you address evolving issues that may affect your clients’ portfolios. In this edition:

  • The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate and Bloomberg U.S. Universal bond indexes offer distinct lenses for considering the role of fixed income in a portfolio.
  • Both indexes are essential tools for portfolio construction; carefully weigh your clients’ investment objectives and risk tolerance when selecting between them.

 

Portrait of Steven Pope
Steven Pope, CFA® , CFP®
Senior Portfolio Strategist, Vanguard Portfolio Solutions
Portrait of Steven Pope

Steven Pope, CFA® , CFP®

Senior Portfolio Strategist, Vanguard Portfolio Solutions

axs-portrait-Marshall-Hartley
Marshall Hartley, CFA, CFP
Senior Investment Analyst, Portfolio Solutions
axs-portrait-Marshall-Hartley

Marshall Hartley, CFA, CFP

Senior Investment Analyst, Portfolio Solutions

Choosing the right bond index for your portfolio: Universal versus Aggregate

For financial advisors, defining the role of bonds in a client’s portfolio is an important strategic decision that shapes risk and return characteristics. Striking the right balance between diversification and total return requires clarity on which benchmarks best reflect those objectives. Two widely followed indexes—the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate and the Bloomberg U.S. Universal—offer distinct lenses for evaluating fixed-income exposure, each with implications for portfolio construction.

The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index (the “Agg”) is the long-standing benchmark for investment-grade, U.S.-dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bonds. It includes Treasuries, government-related and corporate bonds, agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), asset-backed securities (ABS), and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS). Importantly, it excludes high-yield and emerging-market debt, making it a conservative, core fixed income measure.

By contrast, the Bloomberg U.S. Universal Index builds on the Agg by adding U.S. high-yield corporates and dollar-denominated emerging-market bonds (Figure 1a). This broader composition introduces more credit risk but also higher income potential and fixed income diversification. Over time, these additional exposures have translated into stronger total returns and higher yields for the Universal Index compared to the Agg, particularly in credit-friendly environments. Historical data shows the Universal Index has outperformed the Agg on both an absolute and risk-adjusted basis over the past 35 years (Figure 1b),1 thanks to its inclusion of higher-yielding sectors and lower overall duration. These characteristics can give the Universal Index an edge for an advisor’s strategic allocation.

 

Figure 1a: Bloomberg Universal Index includes U.S. high-yield corporates and emerging-market bonds

Sector allocations by percentages

A bar chart depicts and compares the allocation to certain sub-asset classes in the composition of two similar indexes: the Bloomberg US Aggregate (the "Agg") Float Adjusted and the Bloomberg US Universal. The Universal includes meaningfully greater exposure to some higher-risk assets, such as emerging market and high-yield corporate bonds.

Sources: Vanguard and BlackRock Aladdin, as of December 31, 2025.

Figure 1b: More credit risk, diversification, and higher income potential with the U.S. Universal

Credit quality: U.S. Agg versus U.S. Universal

A chart features two vertically oriented bars. The first bar represents the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate index and indicates a 100% composition of securities rated "investment grade" credit. The second bar represents the Bloomberg U.S. Universal index, composed of 96% investment grade securities and 4% below investment grade.

Sources: Vanguard and BlackRock Aladdin, as of December 31, 2025.

However, there are times when the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index has been a better option. The Agg demonstrates its strength during periods of equity market volatility. When risk assets decline, investors typically seek high-quality fixed income, and the Agg’s substantial allocation to Treasuries and agency securities provides that defensive anchor. As shown in Figure 2, this positioning often results in outperformance relative to the Universal Index, reinforcing the Agg’s role as a stabilizing force within diversified portfolios. For investors prioritizing equity market diversification, the Agg remains a critical benchmark. Conversely, the broader opportunity set of the Bloomberg U.S. Universal Index may be a better choice for those with objectives centered on return enhancement and income generation.

 

Figure 2: Universal versus Agg performance: Equity markets have historically determined the leader

Performance difference between the U.S. Universal and the U.S. Agg by deciles of equity performance (1989 through December 31 2025)

A chart shows the performance difference between the U.S. Universal and the U.S. Agg by deciles of equity performance, from 1989 through December 31, 2025. The S&P 500 index is used as a proxy for equity performance along the bottom of the x-axis, with the lowest-decile (worst monthly returns) performance to the left and highest-decile performance (best monthly returns) to the right.  Vertical bars along the x-axis represent monthly total returns (as a percentage) calculated as the difference between the Universal and the Agg. Thus, bars above the y-axis 0.00% mark represent the Universal outperforming the Agg--these are concentrated mostly in the equity performance deciles with the best monthly returns (right side of the chart). Bars beneath the 0.00% mark indicate the Agg outperforming the Universal and happened in deciles with the worst monthly returns (grouped toward the left side of the chart). One takeaway is that the Agg’s substantial allocation to Treasuries and agency securities can provide a defensive anchor to a portfolio in times of challenging equity markets.

Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. The performance of an index is not an exact representation of any particular investment, as you cannot invest directly in an index.

Source: Vanguard Investment Advisory Research Center.

In summary: the Agg delivers resilience when markets are under stress, while the Universal Index provides greater return potential in credit-friendly environments.

In deciding which approach—or which balance of approaches—suits your clients’ circumstances, you can consider these products for your portfolio construction toolkit:

Vanguard Core Bond ETF (VCRB) provides diversified exposure primarily to investment-grade U.S. bonds and uses the Agg as its benchmark. Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) gives broad exposure to the taxable investment-grade U.S. dollar-denominated bond market (excluding inflation-protected and tax-exempt bonds) and also tracks the Agg.    

Vanguard Core-Plus Bond ETF (VPLS) uses the Universal as its benchmark and provides diversified exposure primarily to investment-grade U.S. bonds with selective exposure to below-investment-grade bonds and debt from other countries, including emerging markets. Vanguard Core-Plus Bond Index ETF (BNDP) seeks to track the investment results of the Bloomberg U.S. Universal Float Adjusted Index using an optimized sampling indexing strategy.

Both the Agg and the Universal benchmarks are essential tools for portfolio construction, and advisors should align their selection with their clients’ risk tolerance and investment objectives.

Partner with Vanguard Portfolio Solutions

Fine-tuning a core fixed income position requires a nuanced understanding of products, the indexes upon which they are based, and how they behave under a range of market conditions. Our specialists can share their insights with you and provide in-depth analysis—helping you optimize fixed income allocations for your clients’ portfolios.

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1 From 1990–2025, average three-year total returns for the Agg were 4.71%, versus 4.93% for the Universal Index. Additionally, over the same period, average three-year risk-adjusted returns, as measured by Sharpe ratio, for the Agg were 0.69, versus the 0.77 for the Universal Index. Source: Morningstar.

 

More Vanguard analysis

For additional expert insights, check out:

  • Advisor Trends: Find out how your portfolios stack up in comparison with your advisor peers’.
  • Market perspectives: Turn to Vanguard's senior economists each month for projected returns and monthly economic highlights on inflation, growth, and expected Fed actions.
  • Active Fixed Income Perspectives: View our quarterly, in-depth commentary for a sector-by-sector analysis and a summary of how those views affect the Vanguard active bond funds.
  • ETF Industry Perspectives: Get the latest ETF trends and insights from our investment experts to help you address issues that may affect your clients' portfolios.

 

Notes:

  • For more information about Vanguard funds or Vanguard ETFs, view detailed product information or call 800-997-2798 to obtain a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus. Investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other important information are contained in the prospectus; read and consider it carefully before investing.
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