Find out how your portfolios stack up
Expert Perspective
|August 21, 2024
Expert Perspective
|August 21, 2024
How do your portfolios stack up against your peers'? Learn what’s trending in the biannual report from Vanguard’s Portfolio Analytics and Consulting (PA&C) team. You can review the highlights of the midyear 2024 report here or download the full analysis.
Advisors’ allocations towards growth equities remain steady while their benchmark-relative active risk continues to increase. Benchmark composition changes are largely responsible, given mega cap growth’s outperformance year-over-year and higher concentration.
After reviewing 932 advisor equity sleeves in the first half of 2024, the underweight to large cap growth has widened from just under 1.5% to roughly 4%, relative to a global equity benchmark (see Figure 1).
Sources: Vanguard and Morningstar, Inc., as of June 30, 2024. The chart includes all observed portfolios in each time period. Equity benchmark: FTSE Global All Cap TR USD.
Note: 611 equity sleeves observed in 1H 2023, with an average of 10 tickers per sleeve. 932 equity sleeves observed in 1H 2024, with an average of 11 tickers per sleeve.
From the conversations we are having with advisors, many are questioning the merits of market-cap-weighted index products given higher levels of concentration. That has sparked advisor interest (and higher usage) of nontraditional, options-based, equal-weighted, and active equity products—especially within the ETF wrapper. As one example, we’ve seen an 8x jump in usage of active equity ETFs just since 2019—many of which meaningfully underweight the top 50 names in broad indexes.
While concentration may feel like a new phenomenon, it’s more common than you think, as the top ten holdings in the S&P 500 Index have ranged from 20% to 30% over most years since 1990 (source: Vanguard Investment Advisory Research Center research: “Historical perspective on equity concentration”).
There are trade-offs associated with incorporating any non-market-cap-weighted index products into a portfolio. Take equal-weighted S&P 500 Index products as an example: Roughly 60% of these strategies will screen as mid-cap (see Figure 2). That shouldn’t be a surprise in and of itself, but it can increase the likelihood of unintended outcomes when paired with equity portfolios that already lean smaller in size, which happens to be the most consistent equity trend we see. More than half of all equity sleeves we reviewed in 2024 had at least an 8% overweight to mid- and small-caps.
Source: Factset, as of June 28, 2024.
Given increased demand in our perspective on fixed income positioning, advisors have sent 930 unique fixed income sleeves our way for analysis—representing a 63% increase in observed bond allocations, year-over-year.
Duration positioning remains one of the more popular topics being discussed. Vanguard is encouraging advisors to position more towards strategic duration targets as a way of preserving portfolio yields and diversification benefits for multi-asset-class portfolios. While advisors largely remain underweight duration, we have observed an encouraging directional trend in advisors’ extending duration.
In the first half of 2024, advisors’ bond portfolios exhibited lower levels of benchmark-relative active risk. Year-over-year, in aggregate, advisors’ underweight to duration has shrunk by 0.5 years—driven by both advisors slightly extending duration along with benchmark duration composition edging lower (see Figure 3).
Sources: Vanguard and Morningstar, Inc., as of June 30, 2024. The chart includes all observed portfolios in each time period. Fixed income benchmark: Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float-Adjusted Index.
Note: 572 fixed income sleeves observed in 1H 2023, with an average of 5 tickers per sleeve. 930 fixed income sleeves observed in 1H 2024, with an average of 5 tickers per sleeve.
Based on our advisor conversations, many are seeking our perspective on ways to simplify bond portfolios given higher bond yields. Advisors are questioning the need to maintain overly complex fixed income strategies to achieve acceptable returns for client portfolios—often with overlapping risk and return profiles.
Given today’s bond market environment, simplifying your bond strategy is possible while still maintaining diversified exposures. One method is to use a low-cost, true-to-label core fund or ETF as the foundation of your fixed income allocation (see Figure 4). This can create a more scalable and efficient base to layer in your favorite credit- or duration-tilted funds for specific client or model needs. This approach also frees up a meaningful portion of your fee budget to redeploy to often higher-cost and highly active satellite funds.
Source: Vanguard, as of July 31, 2024.
1 Portfolio Analytics & Consulting team, 2024.
If you’re concerned with equity market concentration, curious about the fixed income landscape, or simply want a fresh perspective on portfolio construction, leverage our Portfolio Solutions team’s expertise and vast suite of analytical tools to help you determine the way forward.
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