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Economy & markets

Bringing perspective to events that shape the economy and move markets

Economy & markets

Bringing perspective to events that shape the economy and move markets

2019 Economic and market outlook: Down but not out

What to do when markets sell off

Article

U.S.-China trade-related market volatility has rattled the markets, but there’s something investors can do in response.

How investors can respond to U.S.-China trade-related market volatility.

  Read article

Market and economic perspectives: July/August 2019

Article

Read our July 2019 economic and market highlights, including global growth expectations and key investment risks. In this issue we discuss the heightened potential for recession and interest rate hikes, global asset returns, and more.

Read our July 2019 economic and market highlights, including global growth expectations and key investment risks.

  Read article

China and the global slowdown: A look back and ahead

Article

A lot has happened since Vanguard published its global economic and market outlook for 2019. In this 8-minute read, three Vanguard economists offer their insights on how trade tensions between China and the United States are changing the landscape.

In this 8-minute read, learn how Vanguard’s views on the economy and markets have shifted since the end of 2018.

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Hear from our equity, fixed income, and economic experts

Article

Hear the perspective of Vanguard experts on active fixed income investing, the global economy and markets, and active equity investing.

Watch a video replay of our Virtual Forum and hear insights on active fixed income investing, the global economy and markets, and active equity investing.

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How Fed policy uncertainty may affect asset allocation decisions

Whitepaper

Designing a portfolio for a specific economic environment offers the opportunity to reduce portfolio risk and improve return characteristics, but it also can expose investors to suboptimal outcomes. See the trade-offs for three Federal Reserve scenarios.

How Fed policy uncertainty may affect asset allocation decisions.

  Read executive summary

 | 

  Read white paper

Current thoughts on the economy and the markets

Article

Read an interview with two economic experts on recent developments in the global economy and markets.

Get expert economic insights from our recent Virtual Forum.

  Read article

Vanguard economic and market update

Article

Get Vanguard's current views on monetary policy, recession risk, trade, unemployment, and inflation—all in an accessible bulleted format.

Get Vanguard's quick, bulleted overview on the state of the economy and the markets.

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Tap into research resources from our recent Virtual Forum

Article

Here's a complete summary of the Vanguard research and commentary content that was made available to attendees of the recent Vanguard Virtual Forum.

Here's a rundown of the research and commentary content that was available to attendees of the recent Vanguard Virtual Forum.

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The Fed must play the hand it's been dealt

Article

Vanguard Chief Economist Joe Davis gives his perspective on where monetary policy may be headed.

Vanguard Chief Economist Joe Davis gives his perspective on where monetary policy may be headed.

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The yield curve inverted. Is recession imminent?

Article

Vanguard Senior Economist Andrew Patterson discusses the recent yield curve inversion in the bond market and what it might signal about the economy.

Vanguard Senior Economist Andrew Patterson discusses the recent yield curve inversion in the bond market.

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Late-cycle macro risks and asset allocation

Whitepaper

As the U.S. economy enters the later stages of its current expansion, three risks may affect asset allocation.

As the U.S. economy enters the later stages of its current expansion, three risks may affect asset allocation.

  Read executive summary

 | 

  Read white paper

Amid a tight job market, tech drives low inflation

Article

Learn how technology is dampening inflation and what this means for investors and the economy overall.

Learn how technology is dampening inflation and what this means for investors.

  Read article

Embracing a global stock market

Article

This one-pager provides three good reasons why it’s smart to invest internationally. Share it with your clients.

This one-pager provides three good reasons why it’s smart to invest internationally. Share it with your clients.

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As global growth slows, why are investors still so bullish?

Article

Economic forecasts call for global growth to slow in 2019 before picking up again in 2020. Vanguard's Jonathan Lemco discusses risks to such a scenario and how investors should respond.

Learn where the global economy is headed and what risks may lie ahead.

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Market and economic perspectives: May 2019

Article

Read our May 2019 economic and market highlights, including global growth expectations and key investment risks.

Read our May 2019 economic and market highlights, including global growth expectations and key investment risks.

  Read article

Expect cautious markets amid U.S.-China trade tension

Article

A U.S.-China trade deal that seemed imminent early this month suddenly appears at risk, dragging global stock markets down with it. What has happened in the intervening days, and what should investors expect?

Souring U.S.-China trade talks have dragged down global stock markets. Here’s what to expect.

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What the recent yield curve inversion does and doesn't tell us

Article

Vanguard Senior Economist Roger Aliaga-Díaz discusses the recent yield curve inversion and the likelihood of a recession.

Vanguard Senior Economist Roger Aliaga-Díaz discusses the recent yield curve inversion and the likelihood of a recession.

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Global equity investing: The benefits of diversification

Whitepaper

Even though investors may exhibit a home bias, investing in international stocks has clear benefits.

Even though investors may exhibit a home bias, investing in international stocks has clear benefits.

  Read executive summary

 | 

  Read white paper

CIO Davis: Volatility, risk, and the role of fixed income

Video  |  Transcript available

Vanguard recently gathered experts for a live webcast from Inside ETFs. In this video excerpt, Vanguard Chief Investment Officer Greg Davis discusses market volatility, examines smart risk-taking, and explains the role of fixed income in a portfolio.

In this excerpt from the Inside ETFs webcast, Vanguard Chief Investment Officer Greg Davis offers insights into matters affecting the markets and economy.

  Watch video

 | 

  Read transcript