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Economy & markets

Bringing perspective to events that shape the economy and move markets

Economy & markets

Bringing perspective to events that shape the economy and move markets

2019 Economic and market outlook: Down but not out

The missing link between equity returns and economic growth

Video  |  Transcript available

Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis explains the often conflicting relationship between market returns and economic growth.

Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis explains why there's little correlation between market returns and economic growth over long periods.

  Watch video

 | 

  Read transcript

What is "The uncertainty advantage"?

Video  |  Transcript available

Watch the video replay of Vanguard Chief Investment Officer Greg Davis's keynote address at Inside ETFs in which Greg discussed the current fixed income environment, Vanguard's market and economic outlook, and opportunities to deliver greater value to clients.

Watch the video replay of Vanguard Chief Investment Officer Greg Davis's keynote address at Inside ETFs in February.

  Watch video

 | 

  Read transcript

Our expectations for emerging markets returns

Video  |  Transcript available

Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis explains why rebalancing into markets outside the United States makes strategic sense.

Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis on why emerging markets remain a wild card.

  Watch video

 | 

  Read transcript

Brexit and the value of diversified portfolios

Article

What the U.K. Parliament's latest vote over Brexit negotiations with the European Union means for investors and diversified portfolios.

What the U.K.'s latest Brexit vote means for investors.

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Are U.S. equities fairly valued?

Video  |  Transcript available

Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis says that for the first time in a decade, U.S. equities are approaching a fair-value assessment.

How fairly valued are U.S. equities? Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis offers his analysis.

  Watch video

 | 

  Read transcript

What to expect next from the markets

Article

Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley says our economists are anticipating low returns and higher volatility over the next decade. If they're right, adhering to best practices will be crucial to your investment success.

CEO Tim Buckley says adhering to best practices will be crucial to investment success in a low-return environment.

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What Fed projections may mean for longer-term stock returns

Article

Vanguard Chief Economist Joe Davis is looking at the upcoming Fed meeting for clues about stock returns longer term.

Vanguard Chief Economist Joe Davis is looking at the upcoming Fed meeting for clues about stock returns longer term.

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The strategic role TIPS can play in a portfolio

Video  |  Transcript available

Are Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities a good long-term investment? Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis explains how they can play a strategic role.

Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis explains the strategic role Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities can play in a portfolio.

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 | 

  Read transcript

Is cash an option in the current market environment?

Video  |  Transcript available

Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis explains why he believes cash shouldn't be viewed as an investment vehicle.

Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis shares his thoughts on whether cash is an attractive option given the current market environment.

  Watch video

 | 

  Read transcript

Two pictures are worth 2,000 words

Article

Since 1996, the number of U.S. public companies has been cut in half. But all it takes is two pictures to see why Jim Rowley isn't worried.

Since 1996, the number of U.S. public companies has been cut in half. But all it takes is two pictures to see why Jim Rowley isn't worried.

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What investors can expect as key decisions affecting markets await

Article

Vanguard's Roger Aliaga-Díaz discusses the potential short- and long-term market impacts of specific policy debates that could play out in the weeks ahead.

Learn Vanguard’s views on the impact looming policy decisions will have on investors.

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Podcast: Our 2019 economic and market outlook

Audio  |  Transcript available

In this podcast, Vanguard economist Josh Hirt discusses our expectations for the global economy and the markets in 2019 and beyond.

Vanguard economist Josh Hirt discusses our expectations for the global economy and the markets in 2019 and beyond.

  Listen to audiocast

 | 

  Read transcript

Our aspiration: Keep changing the way the world invests

Article

CEO Tim Buckley reflects on progress made to give investors a fair shake and what more Vanguard can do to deliver strong fund performance, trusted advice, and a world-class client experience.

CEO Tim Buckley shares progress made and efforts underway to deliver on Vanguard's promise to investors.

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Strategies for communicating your value in a down market

Video  |  Transcript available

Vanguard's Don Bennyhoff and Fran Kinniry say advisors can showcase their value to clients through behavioral coaching during down markets.

Vanguard's Don Bennyhoff and Fran Kinniry discuss how advisors can show their value to clients during down markets.

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 | 

  Read transcript

Webcast replay: 2019 Vanguard economic and market outlook

Article

What’s ahead in 2019 for the global economy and financial markets? Replay the live webcast with insights and analysis from Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis.

Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis provides insights and analysis on our 2019 economic and market outlook.

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Fed policy update: A single rate hike likely in 2019

Article

Vanguard has adjusted its outlook for U.S. interest rate policy in 2019. Global Chief Economist Joe Davis explains why the Federal Reserve is likely to raise rates only once this year.

Vanguard's global chief economist explains why the U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to raise rates only once in 2019.

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Our top 5 articles from the past year

Article

These five vanguard.com articles ranked as the most viewed by advisors during 2018.

What Vanguard articles did your peers find most valuable in 2018? Here are the top five.

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Our CIO comments on market volatility

Article

Vanguard Chief Investment Officer Greg Davis offers perspective on the recent volatility in markets.

Vanguard Chief Investment Officer Greg Davis offers perspective on the recent volatility in markets.

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2019 Global outlook: Down but not out

Whitepaper

Although several factors in the global economy will raise the risk of recession in 2019, a slowdown in growth--led by the United States and China--is the most likely outcome.

Factors in the global economy will raise the recession risk in 2019, but a growth slowdown is the likeliest outcome.

  Read executive summary

 | 

  Read white paper

 

Series

Global Macro Matters

In this series, Vanguard's world-class economic team takes a big-picture approach to explaining the trends that affect global markets and the economy.