Navigating the transition: China's future at a crossroads

April 5, 2017

 

At times considered the "world's factory," China is transforming and rebalancing to move away from an export-based economy to a more consumption-based one. This transition is not without challenges, and policy actions could determine whether a downward trend in China's economic growth since the global financial crisis leads to a hard landing, Japan-style stagnation, or something else entirely.

This white paper outlines the risks to China's medium- and long-term economic outlook and four potential scenarios for China's economic future.

Use this paper to:

  • Review the policy tools China might use to cushion its slowdown or protect itself from potential mistakes.
  • Understand the ways China's slowdown could affect other sectors of the global economy.
  • Examine four potential scenarios for China's economic future and the ways progress on structural reform and cushions from macro policy could help shape it.
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Additional materials

Note:

All investing is subject to risk, including possible loss of principal.

 

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